Behind the scenes of the Taliban victory is a scenario drawn by Xi Jinping.The trigger was the assassination of the Taliban Mansour in 2016.Consider Xi Jinping's careful strategy until former President Trump decides to withdraw US military.
On May 21, 2016, the U.S. Army, who was still under the Obama administration, killed a mansal (unmanned) attack on the Taliban's highest leader at the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan.The idea of putting Taliban on a peace -negotiated table was considered whether the United States abandoned it.
This is because in January 2016, in January 2016, Afghanistan, Pakistan, the United States, and China gathered together with the aim of establishing a roadmap for peace between Afghanistan and Taliban.Pakistan Hosts Four-Way Afghanistan Peace Talks.Taliban does not want to talk to the American puppet government, the Afghanistan government.
Under these circumstances, the Taliban delegation, who was killed by the Supreme leader Manshur in the United States, visited China from July 18 to 22, 2016, and called for help from China.Some English media, including Reuters, reported.
At this time, the Taliban side has requested China as follows.
―― We have a good relationship with various countries around the world.China is one of them.Afghanistan has been occupied by foreign troops such as the US and NATO, and has been atrocities by the invading army.I want you to help us can be free from the invaders.I would like you to take up this situation at international conferences.
Strangely, China has not made any official announcements about this.
I wonder why.
Because the column on April 30
As I wrote in, China has said that Uyghur in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region has caused the East Turkistan Islamic Movement in cooperation with Afghanistan's Islamic extremists and is trying to separate from China.From.So, to suppress the "East Turkistan Islamic Movement", we have helped any power.
It is also friendly to the Afghanistan government, which was born after the United States invading the Afghanistan since the September 11 Simultaneous multiple terrorist attacks, and on July 3, just before the Taliban delegation visited in July 18, 2016.China has just executed military support for the Afghan government.
For this day, in May 2016, the Afghan government's Imperial Secretary of Afghanistan's government, Abdora Abdora, visited China and even talked to Xi Jinping.
In fact, although the "Belt One Road" was also in the "memorandum", it has been in partnership with the Afghanistan government to a certain extent.
According to "Why China must be a" mediation person "in the" Ring World Network ", which is a subsidiary of the People's Daily, which was announced on January 19, 2015(Old) (former) since 1996 (~ 2001), when the Taliban administration was born, especially in 1999, in 1999, when the "East Turkistan Islamic Movement" began in cooperation with the Uyghurs in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, the relationship with the Taliban administration was deeply related to the Taliban administration.The company promises economic support on condition that it will not invite the Uyghur in the direction of separation.For example, China has provided a communication service to the Taliban administration and promised to open a route connecting Kabul and Urumchi, the capital of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, centered on the Wakan Corridor, which shares the borders with Afghanistan.
Even after the U.S. invasion of Afghan military (formerly) Taliban administration collapsed, Taliban executives visited Beijing at the end of 2014 and discussed the possibility of a peaceful process of Afghan conflict, and in 2015 it was sponsored by China.The Pakistani government is supporting the Public Process of Afghanistan with former Taliban executives in Urumchi, the capital of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region.
In that sense, it can be said that the Talivan national team in July 2016 was the "third visit", counted after the birth of the Afghanistan government.These are all since the Xi Jinping administration.And since July 2016, Xi Jinping will go one further and focus on the Taliban, not the Afghanistan government.
Terrorism in China, which was so frequent in 2014, has been hidden since 2016, and in August 2016, Chen nationwide was nominated as Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous District Secretary (see the column on April 15
This can be positioned as a proof that "anti -terrorism" was provided with "anti -terrorism" with "anti -terrorism".
It is a well -known fact that China worked on Pakistan on the "Belt and Road" in the Pakistan Corridor.However, few people will know the aim of Xi Jinping who was "secretly" moving "secretly" in the shadows.
In May 2013, after the birth of the Xi Jinpei administration, Li Kaei Hong Hong (Prime Minister State) visited Pakistan and signed a Pakistan economic corridor with China.
In April 2015, Xi Jinpai himself visited Pakistan and promised to strengthen the area.
In this trend, Pakistan was sponsored by Pakistan in January 2016, and a four -country adjustment group on the Afghan issue was born.
こうして習近平はパキスタンを使いながらアフガン問題和平プロセスを「上海協力機構」へとシフトさせ、和平プロセス問題でロシアのプーチン大統領との連携を深めていくのである。
Xi Jinping has controlled the Taliban while treating both the Taliban and the Afghanistan government, as you can see from the telephone talk with President Gani on July 16 this year.However, it is more likely to stimulate the East Turkistan Islamic exercise organization due to the prominent problem.I also want to avoid being more alerted by the United States than necessary.
そこで習近平は、自分自身は表に出ず、ロシアのプーチン大統領に前面に出てもらっている。二人の間でどのような棲み分けをしたかは、二人以外にはわからないかもしれないが、結果として表面化している現象を列挙してみよう。最初が「2016年」であることに注目していただきたい。
● December 27, 2016: Russian -led Afghan Peace Discussion, held in Moscow (Moscow Peace Discussion)
● February 15, 2017: 2nd Moscow Peace Discussion
●2017年4月14日：第3回モスクワ和平協議（アメリカ欠席！）
●2017年6月8-9日：カザフスタンのアスタナで開催された第17回上海協力機構首脳会合でアフガニスタン問題の協議再開に合意
●2017年10月11日：ロシア外務省主催の上海協力機構のアフガニスタン和平に関する国際会合をモスクワで開催。
上海協力機構は9月1日のコラム＜独立の祝砲に沸くタリバンに中国はどう向き合うのか？＞にも書いたが、「国境地区における軍事分野の信頼強化に関する協定」（上海協定）の調印を目的に1996年4月に上海で集った上海ファイブ（中国・ロシア・カザフスタン・キルギス・タジキスタンの5ヵ国首脳会議）が前身となっている。このことからもわかるように、中国とロシアが主体の反テロ組織でもあり、NATOに対抗する組織でもある。さらに言うなら、第一回目の会合が上海で開催されたことからもわかるように、スタートは中国が主導している。
Thanks to the cooperation, Xi Jinping gave Putin the Medal of Friendship in June 2018, and Putin also praised Putin as "history is more closely in history in history."
On the other hand, in the most important United States, which occupied Afghanistan, Donald Trump began election activities to the presidential candidate in May 2016, and then begged Kissiner's teaching on diplomatic issues (details are my book."Xi Jinping vs..Trump. "Kissiner was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for his achievements that ended the Vietnam War in peace negotiations.Former President Obama, who had a fierce rivalry, also won the Nobel Peace Prize in October 2009, shortly after becoming the president.If you can get the Nobel Peace Prize just by giving a speech on "nuclear world" in Prague in April 2009, if you find a peaceful solution on the dispute issue that you have not solved, you will surely win the Nobel Peace Prize.If you can get it, it's no wonder that Trump is craving.Trump had a businessman's achievement, and what he wanted was only honorable.
In fact, it is not difficult to imagine how Trump was craving from the fact that he asked the former Prime Minister Abe to be nominated by the Nobel Peace Prize candidate and was proud of it.
The proof was that from the time of the presidential election speech, Trump said several times that "you can talk while eating a hamburger with Kim Jong -un and a hamburger."Do you eat Kim Jong Un and a hamburger?>
今ではもう音信が途絶えてしまった中国共産党の老党員は、そのころ筆者にしきりに「トランプがノーベル平和賞を欲しがっていることに中国は注目している」と知らせてくれたし、「もっとも、北朝鮮問題が解決してしまうと、アメリカの軍産複合体が武器弾薬を生産する口実が無くなるので困るだろうが…」と笑ってもいた。たしかに、金正恩とハンバーガーを食べながらお喋りをする機会はなくなってしまったが、しかしアメリカには長年抱えてきたアフガン問題がある。
Trump may have thought that if the African problem could be solved, this time it would be inevitable.
It is unlikely that a strategic China will miss that point.
In any case, it is clear that the prospect of the Chuo Russia, which brought the initiative of Afghan Peace Talk to the Shanghai Cooperation Agency, has exerted the effect of promoting Trump's determination to withdraw US military.
The Trump administration, which began to run in January 2017, began to declare the allegations that Russia was providing weapons to Taliban in April.In fact, on July 25, CNN obtained a video of the alleged evidence, and on July 25, the information was sent out with the headline, "Russia supplying a weapon to Taliban or suggesting the video obtained.
ロシアを警戒したトランプ政権は、前述の2017年4月14日にモスクワで開催された和平交渉には欠席している。きっとトランプは、「このままではロシアに主導権を奪われてしまう」と焦ったに違いない。
The disgusting mood was spreading in the United States.
The circumstances on the way are so complicated that if you write only the gest, Taliban called on the U.S. government directly on February 26, 2018, but on July 23, 2018, the United States of Alice Wers in the United States.Assistant Secretary's deputy has a secret meeting with Taliban in a political office in Qatar.
その結果、アメリカとタリバンは2020年2月29日に「和平合意」に漕ぎ着けた。その後の詳細は省くが、米軍の撤退こそがタリバンの勝利であり、中露の勝利でもあった。
The way Taliban beats the government forces is the strategy of Mao Zedong in the China's Liberation War, but this will be discussed separately if there is a chance.
The V-DEM Research Institute in Sweden is DeMOCRACY Report 2021.AutoCratization Turns Viral has been announced.
The following is the world map of the "democratization" in it.
Countries with high democratization are blue, and countries with low democratization are red.
The Eurasian continent, mainly in China and Russia, is almost bright red, while some northern European countries, the United States, Australia, and Japan are dyed blue.Overall, there are many red countries.
If you overlap this with the IMF map divided by the amount of GDP per person, you can see that it is almost the same.The following map shows that the darker greenery, the higher the GDP per person (economically rich), and the darker the red, the lower the GDP per person and the poor.
What this means is, "There is a soil in a country where democracy is penetrating is high, there is a certain level of middle class, and education is also common. But one.In countries with low GDP per person, it is not economically rich, so education is not prominent, there is no room for making decisions and choosing freely, and democracy is difficult to grow up.I have to do it. "
Furthermore, it is impossible to do the foundation to invade armed forces in a country like Afghanistan, which has intense religiousness, and "plant democracy."
President Biden states that it is a battle between democracy and tyranny in forming a siege net, but if he thinks so seriously, the United States will surely lose China.This is because more than half of the world is occupied by a nation with a tendency to tend to be tough.
しかし肝心なのは、「一人当たりのGDPが小さいということは、これから発展するポテンシャルが高い国々であることを示している」という事実だ。習近平のシナリオの軸はここにある。
In other words, "a strategy of attracting red countries to China by China Money through the Belt and Roads" is "Biden's Strategy, which has a high democracy that can not grow GDP growth."Has the possibility of greater power in the future.
It can be said that the era of the United States to democratize the other country with armed attacks was a mistake seen when Afghan's withdrawal of the U.S. military, but the siege networking networking was "democracy -to -tyranny.On the other hand, there is a concern that the strategy of Biden, which is positioned in the "battle", is that he can really beat China.
We must prevent China, which is suppressing speech, must be prevented, but we will have a viewpoint of overlooking the world at that time.
This collection is reprinted from the website of the Global Research Institute of China.